Technical Analysis and the 200 day moving average
trade-technicals.blogspot.com STOCK MARKET VIDEO I am using technical analysis to show you why it is not recommended to be going long on the stock market or any form of gambling that is intended for the stock market to go up. My recommendation is to wait for the 200 day moving average to start to flatten out and then start to increase. At that point when this average is increasing, then I would start to consider going LONG on the stock market. The stock market is nothing more than a form of gambling and would be comparable to blackjack or roulette as a from to make or lose money.
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25 Responses to “Technical Analysis and the 200 day moving average”
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people follow 15? I do not use the 15 myself. I find 50 and 5 the best and 10 and 20 work well also
We now have a rising 200 day MA on the major indexes on the first significant try (LOL). This leads me to see mixed LT messages with the other long term moving averages declining with the main downtrend line not even touched yet.
see the thing is, it depends if you are short-term or long-term trader, obviously the 200-day moving average shows longer term trends, if you want to take advantage of these short-term trends 15 or even 50 day moving averages would be more appropriate.
thanks fo the video. using the macd indicator with a leveling off 200 ma seems to work well. when the macd rises over the 0 line.
This guy sounds like he has been smoking some serious herb!!
I don’t know a thing about economics, but I understood what you were saying. Thanks!
We can see that the Nasdaq is already having trouble with the 200 dma. I think this is a great video and I plan on doing a little shorting based on your theories.
I suspect this market will chop higher to the 1000 level on the S&P500…..once it completes this wave up…….the capitulatory wave will come setting lows that many of us have not seen !
Also, the Dow is exhibiting the same rolling-over behavior it experienced starting with the low on July 15, 2008 (higher lows, higher highs, but both compressed tighter and tighter). Given that it was approx. 6 weeks between that bottom on July 15 and the top (just before the big summer decline), and we had our 6,500 Dow Jones day on March 9 2009, this means that within a week we will be at the top before another crash down, if we’re not already there.
Good analysis. A few other points come to mind.
The shape of the 200-day MA for S&P 500 today is convex, meaning it is decreasing at an increasing rate (2nd derivative is negative). This bodes evern poorer for touching the 200 day MA.
If 1929-1933 is any guide, this means that we will not bottom out until at least sometime 2011-2012, assuming March 2009 was the starting point.
Excellent analysis
Thanks
Thank you so much for this!
Thanks Derek for the analysis.
I wish I had the balls to buy citigroup at $1 a few weeks ago. A nice 400% return would have been great, but it’s too damn risky.
nice video … you are correct…. buy above the 200 MA … too risky otherwise.
excellent video derek! i watched it 3 times.
Great work bro.
This run is done
Love the TA !!!
gj canuck, 1k on s&p not too long off
Thanks for this video. I am interested in watching more videos like this one. They are very informative.
GREAT VIDEO
thx, 5* and favorited
Keep up the good work — very nice to see it quantified in this fashion.
cool.. thanks Derek! I luv your TA videos
Actually I noticed most of the stocks in Singapore have shown a lot of bearish divergence lately, which means this current rally is losing steam for now, so I believe the market is going for another small dip before continuing this little bear rally!
I agree. A bull run in a bear market.
these videos are where your skills shine.